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What The 2025 Budget Means for Canada’s Housing Future

Lexi Tysoski
Tuesday, December 9, 2025
What The 2025 Budget Means for Canada’s Housing Future

Canada’s federal government is reshaping its approach to housing and the changes coming in Budget 2025 are significant. While a new agency, Build Canada Homes, is being launched to boost construction, overall federal spending on housing is set to decline sharply over the next few years. Here’s what that means for affordability, housing supply, and the programs Canadians rely on.


A Major Drop in Federal Housing Spending

Federal planned spending on housing programs will drop 56% between 2025-26 and 2028-29.

  • 2025-26: $9.8 billion

  • 2028-29: $4.3 billion

This steep decline is largely because many existing programs are expiring, and Budget 2025 introduces additional cuts. Even with new funding for Build Canada Homes, it doesn’t fully make up for the reductions.


Introducing Build Canada Homes

Build Canada Homes (BCH) is the centrepiece of Budget 2025’s housing strategy. It aims to boost housing supply through:

  • Direct construction of homes

  • Funding for new builds

  • Helping community housing providers buy existing rental buildings

Between 2025-26 and 2029-30, BCH plans to spend $7.3 billion, most of which is new funding. When you include loans and asset development, the total rises to $13 billion.

Where the $7.3 Billion Goes

  • $625 million for the Canada Rental Protection Fund (to help community groups buy rental buildings at risk of redevelopment)

  • $1 billion for transitional and supportive housing

  • $5.4 billion for grants, contributions, and loan concessions for affordable housing

This investment is meant to help speed up construction, especially on federal land, and promote cost-effective building methods like modular and factory-built homes.


How Many Homes Will This Create?

Although BCH is part of the federal goal to double homebuilding over the next decade, no full plan for that goal exists yet. Based on its funding and program design, BCH is expected to have a modest impact:

Estimated New Housing Units (2025–2030)

Total: ~26,000 units
Affordable for low-income households: ~13,000 units

This represents:

  • 2.1% increase in projected national housing completions

  • Addresses only 3.7% of the estimated 2035 housing shortfall (690,000 homes)

So while BCH will help, it won’t dramatically close Canada’s housing gap.


But at the Same Time… Funding Cuts Elsewhere

While BCH grows, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) faces major funding reductions.

What’s Ending or Being Cut

  • Canada Housing Benefit (monthly rent support)

  • Affordable Housing Fund

  • Co-operative Housing Development Program

  • Federal Lands Initiative

  • Innovation Fund

  • Housing Accelerator Fund

Budget 2025 adds further cuts: $2.4 billion from CMHC programs between 2026–27 and 2029–30, and $860 million per year ongoing.

This will likely limit CMHC’s ability to maintain existing social housing—an area where spending cannot easily be reduced without impacting vulnerable households.


Other Programs Set to Expire

Unless renewed, several important housing-related commitments end between 2026 and 2029, including:

  • On-reserve housing funding

  • Reaching Home (Canada’s main homelessness program)

  • Métis, Inuit, and First Nations housing agreements

This adds even more uncertainty to future affordability supports.


What This Means for Affordability

Build Canada Homes will create new affordable units, but the benefits will unfold gradually over many years.

At the same time:

  • Rent supports are shrinking

  • Programs that help low-income households now are expiring

  • Funding for maintaining existing social housing is tightening

The result is a shift away from immediate affordability support and toward long-term capital projects, leaving many households without near-term help.


The Takeaway

Budget 2025 marks a major change in Canada’s housing strategy:

O More focus on building new homes through Build Canada Homes
O Important investments in transitional, supportive, and affordable housing construction

But…

X Overall federal housing spending drops by more than half
X
 Key affordability programs are ending or shrinking
X BCH’s impact on housing supply will be helpful but relatively small

Canada is investing in long-term solutions, but short-term affordability pressures are expected to worsen as direct supports decline.

What This All Means (Super Simple Version)

1. Federal Housing Spending Is Dropping Fast

  • Current federal housing spending: $9.8B (2025–26)

  • Planned spending later: $4.3B (2028–29)

  • That’s a 56% cut because several existing programs are ending and Budget 2025 introduces new reductions.


2. A New Housing Agency Is Being Created

Build Canada Homes (BCH)

  • New federal agency focused on building and supporting new housing.

  • Plans to spend $7.3B over five years (2025–30).

  • Total cash moving through the agency (including loans + assets): $13B.

  • Its main goals:

    • Build more housing using modular/factory-built methods

    • Help others build with grants and loans

    • Help non-profits buy buildings before developers redevelop them


3. What Build Canada Homes Will Spend Money On

  • $625M ? Help community housing groups buy rental buildings (prevents rent hikes, but doesn’t add new homes).

  • $1B ? Build transitional & supportive housing (about 3,669 new units).

  • $5.4B ? Grants/loans to support more affordable housing builds.

  • $3.1B (additional) ? Build housing directly on federal land.


4. How Much Housing Will Actually Be Built?

  • BCH is expected to create about 26,000 new homes over five years.

    • About 13,000 of these will be affordable for low-income households.

  • This only adds about 2.1% more housing than what Canada was already on track to build.

  • It will only address about 3.7% of Canada’s estimated housing shortage.


5. Meanwhile, Other Key Housing Programs Are Ending

Several major programs have no renewal announced, including:

  • Canada Housing Benefit

  • Affordable Housing Fund

  • Housing Accelerator Fund

  • Support for existing social housing

  • Funding for homelessness programs (ending by 2027-28)

  • Indigenous housing programs (ending 2027–29)


6. CMHC Funding Is Being Cut Too

  • Budget 2025 cuts $2.4B from CMHC housing programs (2026–2030).

  • After that, $860M per year in further cuts.

  • This likely means funding for social housing will drop even more.


7. Bottom Line

  • Canada is shifting away from programs that support renters and low-income households right now.

  • Funding is moving toward building long-term assets, but these take years to help.

  • Build Canada Homes will help a bit, but not nearly enough to offset all the cuts.

  • Overall affordability support in Canada is going down significantly.


Sources:
Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer: Build Canada Homes and the Outlook for Housing Programs under Budget 2025
Government of Canada Build Canada Homes

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